NFL LOCKS WEEK 6

Ugh. Last week was NOT a good week for the NFL. Going 4-4 is not good. If you saying, "Yo .500% isn't that bad man," get out.  Close your browser.  Open your window.  Jump out.  We are going to fuck this weekend right in the pussy, and CRUSH these spreads.


1. San Francisco at Detroit -4.5; and OVER 46.5


I honestly think San Francisco is the most overrated team in the NFL. I really do. If they prove me wrong this weekend then hey, good for them. But they won't. They just don't have the weapons. I guess their defense is pretty good. And Harbaugh has worked Alex Smith out from the grave. So they have that going for them. Oh and Gore is nasty, no argument from me there.

But lets be serious. Detroit is on a whole different level right now. As solid as the Niners defense has played this year, there is no way they are going to control all the weapons on offense. The San Fran D has been killing it stopping the run this year, but quite frankly, that shouldn't be a huge factor since that isn't necessarily Detroit's game. They use all their weapons and throw the ball to everyone, especially Megatron (who the fuck is going to cover him?). As awesome as Alex Smith has appeared this season (7 TD, 1 INT), that pass rush by Suh and Fairley is going to fuck his shit up. We will be seing Troy Smith by the second half. Gotta be tough to play QB against the Lions this year, and despite his recent successes, Alex Smith just ain't tough enough.

These teams score a shit-fuck-ton of points so we are hammering the over also. Both of these teams have covered the over 80% of the season so far. Thats a combined 8-2. Gotta go with the over, no doubt.

LIONS -4.5

OVER 46.5

2. New Orleans -5 at Tampa Bay

You know, a month ago I would have picked Tampa straight up with an upset pick at home. Unfortunately, this league thrives on momentum, and right now that is all in the Saint's favor. They have been a quiet 4-1, having only lost to Green Bay first game of the year. Tampa has confused me. Are they good or do they suck? They get crushed last week to the 49ers, who, like I said in the post above, have NO business beating ANYONE 48-3. Like, cmon. And then you expect to fix everything at home against Drew Brees and the Saints? I don't. I really don't. In addition, Blount is most likely not playing with his injury which means strike 2 and 3 for the Bucs. Saints will come out here with a 2 touchdown victory on Sunday.

SAINTS -5

3. Indianapolis at Cincinnati O/U 40.5

The spread is Colts +7 and ehhh, I don't love it. The over/under caught my attention though at 40.5. Every week Vegas puts the o/u on Colts games and Bengals games SO low and week in and week out, those teams absolutely crush them. This week will be the same. Despite the idea that the Colts and Bengals suck and can't score, they both actually have covered the over in 80% of their games thus far. Psh, thats good enough for me. I'll take that shit at 40.5 all day. Love this pick, love all my picks really. This is going to be a fantastic weekend.

OVER 40.5