THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL PICK

#16 South Florida at Pittsburgh +3

I don't get it. I don't understand it one bit. How is South Florida #16 in the country? Because they beat an overrated and under-enthused Notre Dame team week 1? Or was it the fact that they beat Ball State? Or maybe it was game where the beat up on poor little Florida A&M. Wait I know, it was definitely the win against UTEP where they only won because of two 4th quarter touchdowns to seal it. Maybe a combination of all 4 wins made them the #16 team in college football. I don't buy it, I don't get it.

Pittsburgh has lost two very tough games in a row, a nailbiter against Notre Dame in which they lost 15-12, and a loss against Iowa in which they were up 27-10 going into the 4th quarter. And Iowa is better than any team USF has played. What that stat tells me is that Pitts main problem is closing games, an issue that should be fixed with the enthusiasm of the home crowd on a Thursday night.

And like I said last week before Cincinnati absolutely demolished NC State at home, Thursday nights in college are absolutely ruthless---like mixing Friday and Saturday into one giant fuck fest. These kids are going to be absolutely hammered and loud as shit, in the hopes of knocking off a ranked team at home. 

For those that love Against The Spread statistics, lets break it down:

1. USF is 1-6 ATS in their last 7, and 0-6 on Thursdays.

2. Pitt is 10-1 in their last 11 following a straight up loss, and 12-4 in their last 16 Big East games.

3. USF is 2-5 ATS as the road favorite in their last 7.

Can someone actually make an honest case for USF? Me neither. Lets go Pitt.

Pittsburgh +3