There are 4 games that I feel really confident about this week. I'm fucking en fuego on Thursday nights and I'm hoping to bring that momentum and general wizardry of predicting college games into this Saturday's games. Some great matchups this week in the SEC and ACC but I am going to stay away from some of the big matchups because I don't love the spreads. Here are my picks:
1) Texas Tech at Kansas OVER/UNDER 66.5
Anyone who watched college football knows these two schools score a shit ton of points and play zero defense. Although 66.5 sounds like a lot, I'm guessing it will be at 45 by HALFTIME. This is a fucking lock. Texas Tech has covered the over in all of their games this season. Kansas has covered the over in all of their games this season. This is the perfect storm. If you don't take this game you are either a) retarded or b) don't like money. Do the right thing. Lock it up.
OVER 66.5
2) Toledo at Temple OVER/UNDER 50
Couldn't be more opposite to the game above. Neither of these teams score that many points. I know Temple went off on Maryland but that was a fluke and a half. Toledo and Temple both have covered the under in every single one of their games so far this season. This game should be a 21-14 game and the under should be a good pick here. Not gonna argue against stats. If a virgin walks into a bar and he has gotten laid 0% of his life, I'm going to bet that he doesn't get laid that night either. Same thing with this game, if neither team has covered the over this season, I'm going to bet that the trend continues on Saturday.
UNDER 50
3) Air Force at Navy -3.5
These games are always closer than you think, and I know Navy is really hard to defend against but Air Force for whatever reason always plays tough in these inter-military games. Gotta be honest though, I think Navy is really fucking good this year, having almost upset South Carolina earlier this season. Navy is at home and the place should be rockin'. Most importantly, Air Force is 0-3 ATS this season while Navy is 3-0 ATS. Like, how could you take Air Force? Lets go with Navy and get paid.
4) Georgia Tech -10 at NC State
NC State blows. No other way to describe them. Got demolished by an average Cincinnati team last Thursday while Georgia Tech leads the nation in just about every offensive category. 10 point spread on this is nothing, I'd take it at 14 to be honest. Georgia Tech will easily cover this and will make it rain, probably drop 40something against the Wolfpack. Stat time: Georgia Tech is 3-0 this season ATS, while NC State is 0-4. Stats don't lie. Smart bets win. Winning gets you money. Money gets you strippers and drugs. Strippers and drugs get you a motherfuckin good time. So transitive property clearly demonstrates that smart bets correlate to a good time.
GEORGIA TECH -10